Original-Research: Zalando SE (von Quirin Privatbank Kapitalmarktgeschäft): Buy

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Original-Research: Zalando SE - from Quirin Privatbank Kapitalmarktgeschäft

06.08.2025 / 13:49 CET/CEST

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Classification of Quirin Privatbank Kapitalmarktgeschäft to Zalando SE

Company Name: Zalando SE

ISIN: DE000ZAL1111

Reason for the research: Update

Recommendation: Buy

from: 06.08.2025

Target price: 46.50

Last rating change:

Analyst: Ralf Marinoni

Q2 figures and new FY 2025 guidance following "About You" takeover

In Q2-25, Zalando's gross merchandise volume (GMV) saw an increase of 5.0%

to EUR 4.1bn, while revenue increased 7.3% yoy to EUR 2.8bn. The adjusted

EBIT reached EUR 186m, after EUR 172m last year, representing a stable

margin of 6.5%. The company increased its FY 2025 outlook. We therefore

confirm our Buy recommendation and the DCF-based EUR 46.50 TP that reflects

long-term perspectives.

Increased FY 2025 guidance

Following the successful completion of the combination of Zalando and About

You Holding SE on 11 July 2025, Zalando has acquired 91.45% of About You's

share capital. Since the completion of the transaction, About You has been

consolidated into Zalando's group financial statements. As a result, Zalando

is adjusting its forecast for FY 2025 considering the consolidation of About

You: Zalando now expects gross merchandise volume (GMV) of EUR 17.2bn to EUR

17.6bn. Revenue is projected to be between EUR 12.1bn and EUR 12.4bn. This

represents an increase of 12% to 15% in GMV and an increase of 14% to 17% in

revenue compared to FY 2024. The adjusted EBIT is expected to be between EUR

550m and EUR 600m. Zalando anticipates capex of between EUR 200m and EUR

280m.

Previously, without the consolidation of About You, Zalando had forecasted

an increase in both GMV and revenue of 4% to 9%. The adjusted EBIT was

expected to be in a range of EUR 530m to EUR 590m, while capex was projected

to be between EUR 180m and 280m. In particular the slight increase of adj.

EBIT is positive news as About You was not profitable in the last business

year 2024/25 (28 February ended); at that time, reported EBIT amounted to

EUR -69m, while adjusted EBIT amounted to approximately EUR -42m.

Strong balance sheet

Zalando has repaid one of its two remaining convertible bonds with a

residual nominal value of EUR 400m from available cash reserves. This

underscores the company's current strong liquidity position. After taking

into account the acquisition of About You in July and the repayment of the

convertible bond, Zalando's liquidity position amounts to around EUR 1.2bn.

The equity ratio amounted to 34.3% as of 30 June, 2025.

You can download the research here:

https://eqs-cockpit.com/c/fncls.ssp?u=8fd5003ad7bb393dca36efd99252ea93

For additional information visit our website:

https://research.quirinprivatbank.de/

Contact for questions:

Quirin Privatbank AG

Institutionelles Research

Schillerstraße 20

60313 Frankfurt am Main

research@quirinprivatbank.de

https://research.quirinprivatbank.de/

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2180334 06.08.2025 CET/CEST

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